Titled Tuesday Analysis

Statistical analysis of chess games played in Titled Tuesday events on chess.com

Overview

As part of this project, I created a dataset of chess games played in “Titled Tuesday” events on chess.com between July 2022 and December 2023 by scraping the website. Then, I executd various statistical analyses on it. The goal was to find interesting patterns and regularities in online chess tournaments.

Chess is chase

Statistical tools applied were:

  • Descriptive statistics (mean, number of wins, losses, rank distribution).
  • Game accuracy distribution analysis between tournaments rounds to find differences in accuracy between initial and final rounds
  • K-means clustering and k-nearest neighbors analysis.
  • Linear regression to predict game results based on player accuracy.
  • Statistical tests (Kolmogorov-Smirnov test, Shapiro-Wilk normality test).
  • Kernel Density Estimation (KDE) and visualization
  • Maximum Likelihood Estimation of mean and standard deviation assuming chess data normality
  • Correlation analysis of score and accuracy (Spearman’s rank corellation coefficient)

Repos

Github

Dataset